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LBF: A Labeled-Based Forecasting Algorithm and Its Application to Electricity Price Time Series

机译:LBF:基于标记的预测算法及其在电价时间序列中的应用

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摘要

A new approach is presented in this work with the aim of predicting time series behaviors. A previous labeling of the samples is obtained utilizing clustering techniques and the forecasting is applied using the information provided by the clustering. Thus, the whole data set is discretized with the labels assigned to each data point and the main novelty is that only these labels are used to predict the future behavior of the time series, avoiding using the real values of the time series until the process ends. The results returned by the algorithm, however, are not labels but the nominal value of the point that is required to be predicted. The algorithm based on labeled (LBF) has been tested in several energy-related time series and a notable improvement in the prediction has been achieved.
机译:在这项工作中提出了一种新方法,旨在预测时间序列行为。利用聚类技术获得样本的先前标记,并使用聚类提供的信息进行预测。因此,整个数据集与分配给每个数据点的标签离散化了,主要的新颖之处在于仅使用这些标签来预测时间序列的未来行为,而避免使用时间序列的实际值直到流程结束。但是,算法返回的结果不是标签,而是需要预测的点的名义值。基于标记(LBF)的算法已在几个与能量有关的时间序列中进行了测试,并且在预测方面取得了显着改进。

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